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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-115/-115).
  • Waddle has been on the field for 84.3% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #89 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 87.4% of Miami's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #84 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 22.3% -- #87 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Waddle has been in the #81 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 73.9% completion rate.
  • The Panthers have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 72.4% of their targets this season, (#2-most in the league).
  • The Miami Dolphins have had the #5-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • This offense passes the ball 66.6% of the time in a neutral context (#5 in the NFL).
  • This offenses projects to pass 61.8% of the time in this contest (#10 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.
  • The Dolphins offensive line has given the QB 2.40 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#7-most time in the league).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Miami Dolphins have run play-action on 29.9% of their passes this year, #8-most in the NFL.

  • CONS:
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.21 yards per target this season, ranking in the #12 percentile.
  • Carolina's defense has allowed 131 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#30-most in football).
  • Waddle's offensive line has been #29 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Miami has faced the #30-most stacked boxes in the league this year (8.1%).

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Waddle is projected for 1.0% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #76 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #14-most yards per target (8.53) against the Panthers this season.
  • Carolina Panthers cornerbacks rank as the #14 unit in pass coverage.
  • Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the #16 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Dolphins project to run 62.6 plays in this contest, the #16-most of the week.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 63.0 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 57.4% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $8.32. It's return on investment would yeild 7%.

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