| |
Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 14
Denver Broncos vs Detroit Lions
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-115/-115).
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
He has received 48.2% of Detroit's carries this year -- #28 percentile when it comes to running backs.Detroit has played in 8 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#3-most in football). Teams tend to pass the ball more in low-wind conditions, artificially deflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.This offense runs the ball 41.8% of the time in a neutral context (#8 in the NFL), and they project to run 41.8% of the time in this contest.Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the Detroit Lions have faced a stacked box 12.4% of the time this season -- #23-most in football.The Denver Broncos have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 8.9% of the time this season, ranking as the #27 most in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
The Detroit Lions offensive line has ranked #32 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.The Lions project to run 59.5 total plays in this contest, the #28-most of the week.Detroit is a 12.5 point underdog, indicating an extreme passing game script.The Denver Broncos have ranked #9 against the run this year, holding opponents to 101 yards per game on the ground.Broncos defensive ends have ranked #8 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.Broncos defensive tackles have ranked #6 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.Broncos linebackers have ranked #8 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.Broncos safeties have ranked #6 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
Williams has been the #31-leading rusher this season, tallying 46 yards per game on the ground.He has been on the field for 35.6% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #58 percentile among running backs.The Detroit Lions have had the #17-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.This offenses projects to runs 38.6% of the time in this contest (#19 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.In terms of efficiency, Denver's defense has allowed 4.31 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#11-least in football).
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
