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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants
Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 195.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 189.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 195.5 @ -115.
  • Jalen Hurts's offensive line has been #4 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Philadelphia Eagles have run play-action on 32.4% of their passes this year, #5-most in the NFL.
  • The Giants have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 72.4% of their targets, ranking #25-best in the NFL.
  • New York's linebackers grade out as the #29-best in pass coverage this year.
  • Giants linebackers have ranked #30 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.

  • CONS:
  • He's been the #30-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 60.8% clip.
  • Philadelphia has played in 5 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#11-most in football), which artificially improves a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to worse performance in normal conditions.
  • Philadelphia is a 11.0 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • This offense passes the ball 54.0% of the time in a neutral context (#32 in the NFL).
  • This offenses projects to pass 46.9% of the time in this contest (#32 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Eagles offensive line has given Jalen Hurts 2.56 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#26-best in football).
  • The New York Giants defense ranks #8-best in football in Yards per Target at 7.30.
  • New York's cornerbacks grade out as the #10-best in pass coverage this year.
  • The New York Giants have stacked the box on 8.3% of their plays this season, #29-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.

  • Hurts has passed for 209 yards per game this year, #27-best in the league.
  • Efficiency-wise, Hurts has been #16 in the NFL this season, averaging 7.21 yards per target.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have had the #15-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Eagles project to run 63.5 plays in this contest, the #13-most of the week.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Philadelphia have faced the #16-most stacked boxes in the league this year (14.0%).
  • The New York Giants enter this game with the #22-best pass defense this season, allowing 258 yards per game through the air.
  • New York's safeties grade out as the #22-best in pass coverage this year.
  • Giants defensive ends have ranked #12 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • Giants defensive tackles have ranked #17 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.

    THE BLITZ sees Hurts putting up 194.0 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 49.4% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes the UNDER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the UNDER is -$6.21 and with a negative ROI of -5%.

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