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D'Onta Foreman

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans
D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -115.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line has ranked #3 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.
  • He has received 38.1% of Tennessee's carries this year -- #36 percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • This offense runs the ball 43.5% of the time in a neutral context (#2 in the NFL), and they project to run 43.5% of the time in this contest.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have ranked #28 against the run this year, holding opponents to 136 yards per game on the ground.
  • In terms of efficiency, Pittsburgh's defense has allowed 4.98 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#31-least in football).

  • CONS:
  • The Tennessee Titans have had the #25-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Steelers defensive ends have ranked #2 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked box 22.7% of the time this season -- #2-most in football.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 19.3% of the time this season, ranking as the #5 most in the league.

  • He has been on the field for 31.7% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #52 percentile among running backs.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Foreman is projected for 6.9% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
  • Tennessee has played in 3 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#17-most in football). Teams tend to pass the ball more in low-wind conditions, artificially deflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.
  • The Titans project to run 62.7 total plays in this contest, the #18-most of the week.
  • This offenses projects to runs 43.5% of the time in this contest (#12 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Steelers defensive tackles have ranked #22 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Steelers linebackers have ranked #16 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Steelers safeties have ranked #20 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 49.6 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 45.7% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $1.70. It's return on investment would yeild 1%.

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