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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-115/-115).
  • Mooney has been on the field for 87.1% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #93 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 91.8% of Chicago's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #90 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 26.2% -- #94 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Chicago is a 12.0 point underdog, indicating an extreme passing game script.

  • CONS:
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.52 yards per target this season, ranking in the #31 percentile.
  • Mooney has been in the #23 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 57.8% completion rate.
  • Green Bay's defense has allowed 143 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#24-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #30-most yards per target (7.33) against the Packers this season.
  • The Packers have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 57.4% of their targets this season, (#32-most in the league).
  • The Bears project to run 60.1 plays in this contest, the #27-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 57.2% of the time in a neutral context (#30 in the NFL).

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Mooney is projected for -1.2% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #45 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Green Bay Packers cornerbacks rank as the #19 unit in pass coverage.
  • Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the #11 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Chicago Bears have had the #21-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • This offenses projects to pass 55.7% of the time in this contest (#21 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Mooney's offensive line has been #22 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • The Bears offensive line has given the QB 2.44 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#16-most time in the league).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Chicago Bears have run play-action on 26.9% of their passes this year, #13-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Chicago has faced the #19-most stacked boxes in the league this year (13.2%).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 48.6 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 53.6% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $0.24. It's return on investment would yeild 0%.

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