| |
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13
Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
Mooney has been on the field for 86.2% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #91 percentile among wide receivers.He has run a route on 91.5% of Chicago's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #89 percentile among wide receivers.His target share this season has been 27.3% -- #95 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.The Bears project to run 64.2 plays in this contest, the #4-most of the week.Chicago is a 7.5 point underdog, indicating an extreme passing game script.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
Mooney has been in the #18 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 56.4% completion rate.Arizona's defense has allowed 132 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#31-most in football).Opposing wideouts have put up the #27-most yards per target (7.66) against the Cardinals this season.The Cardinals have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 64.9% of their targets this season, (#23-most in the league).Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks rank as the #10 unit in pass coverage.This offense passes the ball 57.5% of the time in a neutral context (#28 in the NFL).Mooney's offensive line has been #23 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Mooney is projected for 1.2% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #81 percentile among wide receivers.In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.71 yards per target this season, ranking in the #37 percentile.Arizona Cardinals safeties rank as the #11 unit in pass coverage.The Chicago Bears have had the #20-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.This offenses projects to pass 58.6% of the time in this contest (#18 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Bears offensive line has given the QB 2.44 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#16-most time in the league).Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Chicago Bears have run play-action on 26.9% of their passes this year, #13-most in the NFL.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Chicago has faced the #19-most stacked boxes in the league this year (13.2%).
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 56.8 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 46.4% of the time.
The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $0.30. It's return on investment would yeild 0%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
