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Dak Prescott Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 14
Washington Football Team vs Dallas Cowboys
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Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 288.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 287.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 288.5 @ -115.
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PROS:
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Prescott has passed for 297 yards per game this year, #3-best in the league.He's been the #6-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 69.0% clip.Efficiency-wise, Prescott has been #4 in the NFL this season, averaging 7.85 yards per target.The Dallas Cowboys have had the #2-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.The Cowboys project to run 66.2 plays in this contest, the #3-most of the week.This offense passes the ball 62.8% of the time in a neutral context (#11 in the NFL).Dak Prescott's offensive line has been #2 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.The Washington Football Team enter this game with the #27-best pass defense this season, allowing 274 yards per game through the air.Washington's defense has been #23-best in terms of passing efficiency, allowing 8.05 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.The Washington Football Team have had the #32-best group of linebackers this season in terms of their pass coverage.WFT defensive ends have ranked #25 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.WFT linebackers have ranked #27 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
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CONS:
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Dallas has played in 9 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#2-most in football), which artificially improves a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to worse performance in normal conditions.Dallas is a 6.0 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.WFT defensive tackles have ranked #1 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
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NEUTRAL:
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This offenses projects to pass 58.3% of the time in this contest (#18 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Cowboys offensive line has given Dak Prescott 2.45 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Dallas Cowboys have run play-action on 25.5% of their passes this year, #16-most in the NFL.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Dallas have faced the #16-most stacked boxes in the league this year (#14.0%).The WFT have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 72.0% of their targets, ranking #21 in the NFL.The Washington Football Team have had the #15-best group of cornerbacks this season in terms of their pass coverage.The Washington Football Team have had the #20-best group of safeties this season in terms of their pass coverage.The Washington Football Team have stacked the box on 13.2% of their plays this season, #20-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ sees him putting up 278.5 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 46.5% of the time.
The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $0.05. It's return on investment would yeild 0%.
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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