My Account Log Out
Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Indianapolis Colts
Carson Wentz Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 210.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 213.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 210.5 @ -115.
  • Indianapolis has played in the #5-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which artificially saps a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • Indianapolis is a 3.0 point underdog, indicating a passing game script.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Indianapolis Colts have run play-action on 31.7% of their passes this year, #6-most in the NFL.

  • CONS:
  • Wentz has passed for 207 yards per game this year, #28-best in the league.
  • He's been the #28-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 61.5% clip.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have had the #31-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Arizona Cardinals enter this game with the #4-best pass defense this season, allowing 224 yards per game through the air.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense ranks #6-best in football in Yards per Target at 7.24.
  • Cardinals linebackers have ranked #3 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.

  • Efficiency-wise, Wentz has been #27 in the NFL this season, averaging 6.71 yards per target.
  • The Colts project to run 62.6 plays in this contest, the #21-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 59.4% of the time in a neutral context (#21 in the NFL).
  • This offenses projects to pass 59.6% of the time in this contest (#19 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Carson Wentz's offensive line has been #21 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • The Colts offensive line has given Carson Wentz 2.47 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#20-best in football).
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Indianapolis have faced the #18-most stacked boxes in the league this year (13.6%).
  • The Cardinals have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 71.3% of their targets, ranking #21-best in the NFL.
  • Arizona's cornerbacks grade out as the #18-best in pass coverage this year.
  • Arizona's safeties grade out as the #11-best in pass coverage this year.
  • Arizona's linebackers grade out as the #13-best in pass coverage this year.
  • Cardinals defensive ends have ranked #14 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • Cardinals defensive tackles have ranked #21 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have stacked the box on 12.1% of their plays this season, #22-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.

    THE BLITZ sees Wentz putting up 232.6 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 58.3% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $10.45. Its return on investment would yield +9%.

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™