My Account Log Out
Braxton Berrios

Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 16

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-120/-110) with an implied projection of 42.3 yards.

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -110.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Berrios is projected for 14.7% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #100 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Berrios has been in the #93 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 78.3% completion rate.
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #4-most yards per target (9.28) against the Jaguars this season.
  • The Jaguars have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 75.3% of their targets this season, (#1-most in the league).
  • Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks rank as the #24 unit in pass coverage.
  • The New York Jets have had the #5-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.

  • CONS:
  • Berrios has been on the field for 30.0% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #31 percentile among wide receivers.
  • This offenses projects to pass 57.5% of the time in this contest (#25 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jets offensive line has given the QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#24-most time in the league).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The New York Jets have run play-action on 21.8% of their passes this year, #28-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and New York has faced the #25-most stacked boxes in the league this year (10.6%).

  • He has run a route on 35.7% of New York's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #36 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 8.8% -- #47 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.90 yards per target this season, ranking in the #45 percentile.
  • Jacksonville's defense has allowed 160 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#12-most in football).
  • Jacksonville Jaguars safeties rank as the #12 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Jets project to run 63.0 plays in this contest, the #17-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 62.3% of the time in a neutral context (#12 in the NFL).
  • Berrios's offensive line has been #18 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 56.8 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 62.8% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $18.18. It's return on investment would yeild 15%.

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™