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Green Bay Packers (10-3) at Baltimore Ravens (8-5)
Week 15's contest between the Green Bay Packers and the Baltimore Ravens matches strength with weakness. The Green Bay Packers pass offense has been one of the best units in the NFL, ranking #8 while averaging 267 yards per game. The Ravens defense, meanwhile, has allowed 272 passing yards per game, #5-worst in the league. This should give Green Bay a decided advantage, and they'll likely look to air it out this week.
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Where Green Bay could perhaps capitalize the most is with their running backs. Green Bay running backs have averaged 46 yards per game this season, #10-best in the NFL. They've caught 82.9% of the passes thrown in their direction (#6-best). They've averaged 7.24 yards per target (#4-best).
The Ravens defense, meanwhile, has been very weak against running backs. Their linebackers and safeties have allowed 42 yards per game this season, #12-worst in the NFL. They've allowed opposing running backs to complete 85.2% of their targets (#8-worst). Opposing running backs have averaged 8.17 yards per target (#2-worst). If the Ravens are to win this game, they'll have to find a way to stop—or at least slow down—Green Bay's pass game, in particular their running backs. That won't be an easy task given how their defensive squad has performed thus far.
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This will be the 3rd consecutive home game for the Ravens. Not having to travel should bode well for the Ravens, and this could slightly upgrade their home field advantage.
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The Over has approximately 61% of the bets, but only 28% of the cash.
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PROJECTION:
Green Bay Packers - 24.12
Baltimore Ravens - 16.55
Win Probability:
GB 75% / BAL 25%
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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