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Detroit Lions (1-10-1) at Denver Broncos (6-6)
The upcoming contest between the Detroit Lions and the Denver Broncos projects as the slowest-paced game of Week 14, according to THE BLITZ. These teams project to run a measly 120.7 plays between them, averaging 27.83 seconds per play.
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When teams are crawling down the field and grinding out clock, each team ultimately winds up with fewer possessions and fewer opportunities to actually score points. The Game Total for this game is currently set at 42.0 and the slow-paced nature of this contest could be a point in favor of hitting the Under.
While a bit noisier, defenses also have a real impact on pace as well. Defenses can force the opposing offenses to play slower, and the Lions defense has excelled at that this season, ranking #6 in slowest defensive pace at 27.79 seconds per play.
If we're thinking about betting the Under, the general lack of offensive prowess would also lend some support. The Lions offense ranks #27 in football in total yards per game at 319 — not good.
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The Lions are winless on the road after losing 1 consecutive road games, while the Broncos are 3-3 at home. The last time these two teams played each other was Week 16 in 2019. That game resulted in a home win for the Broncos with a final score of 27-17. This week will mark back-to-back home games for the Broncos. Not having to travel should bode well for the Broncos, and this could slightly upgrade their home field advantage.
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The Game Total has moved a small amount since it opened. It opened 43.5 before it was bet down to 42.0. The Over has approximately 52% of the bets, but only 19% of the cash. Compared to all the other game action this week, the Under has the highest percentage of cash this week.
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PROJECTION:
Denver Broncos - 26.78
Detroit Lions - 18.21
Win Probability:
DEN 77% / DET 23%
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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