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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zion Williamson has attempted 16.9 shots per game over the last 10 games while at home, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Zion Williamson has converted 100.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 37.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while on his home court.

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 7th-most treys per game in the league this year (1.8).

The Pelicans will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).

The Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zion Williamson has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed overall this year.

The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Bucks, making it tough to draw fouls.

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