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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Zion Williamson has made 100.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 37.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year while at home.
  • Zion Williamson has tallied 30.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • The Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Zion Williamson has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
  • The matchup against the Pacers is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.5).
  • While playing away from home, the Pacers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Zion Williamson has made a mere 64.8% of his free throws this year, significantly less than his 72.3 rate last year.

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