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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zion Williamson has made 100.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 37.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year at home.

Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson places in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 29.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (43.4%).

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson registers in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.

In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Zion Williamson has made a lowly 64.8% of his free throws this season, a significant dropoff from his 72.3 rate last season.

The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (11th-least in the NBA).

More Zion Williamson Player Props

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