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Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2023

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zion Williamson has converted 9.7 baskets per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.9 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season.

The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

When playing on the road, the Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of scoring, the Pelicans's unimpressive 108.3 points per game ranks 5th-fewest in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Houston is a hard one for threes; when the Houston Rockets are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (27.1%).

The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Pelicans.

Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (16th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Zion Williamson is expected to see a decline in efficiency across the board on account of playing away from hom in this game.

More Zion Williamson Player Props

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