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Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 6.8 clip, Zach LaVine's shots from the field sunk have surged this year to 8.3 per game.

Zach LaVine has converted an impressive 3.1 shots from downtown per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.4 rate last season.

Zach LaVine has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.

In regard to shooting, the Sacramento Kings's excellent 115.9 points per game ranks 10th-best in the NBA this year.

The Kings are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Pistons).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach LaVine has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (27.6%).

The Kings have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Zach LaVine will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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