Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 19.5 points per game (highest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, resulting in a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Bulls have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Nets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Zach LaVine has made 43.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 14.6% lower than he's made over the course of the season away from his home court.
Zach LaVine has successfully made 34.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 11.8% lower than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year when playing on the road.
Zach LaVine has accumulated 2.1 personal fouls per game over the last 12 games away from his home court, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Nets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bulls.