Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Zach LaVine

NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Orlando Magic · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has tallied 34.3 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine lands in the 92nd percentile for free throws drained when playing away from home, putting up a whopping 4.4 per game this year.
Zach LaVine will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Zach LaVine has made a measly 7.1 buckets per game this season, quite a bit less than his 8.8 rate last season.
In comparison to last season's 0.0 rate, Zach LaVine's technical fouls have risen this season to 0.2 per game.
The matchup against the Magic is a difficult one; they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (11.4).
The 3rd-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.9 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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