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Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach LaVine has averaged 22.7 points per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.

Zach LaVine has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for threes; when the Timberwolves are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have put up the 26th-highest three percentage in the league this year (38.6%).

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach LaVine has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home.

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (6th-least in the NBA).

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