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Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach LaVine has scored 22.7 points per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.

Zach LaVine has tallied 33.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Kings is a favorable one for scoring; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (48.4%).

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach LaVine has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.1 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home.

The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

When playing on the road, the Kings have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Kings is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the league).

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