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Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Houston Rockets vs Chicago Bulls

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach LaVine has averaged 24.1 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile.

Zach LaVine has averaged 34.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Rockets have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Bulls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach LaVine has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a challenging one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 13th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.9).

The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Rockets may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 0.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the NBA).

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