Zach LaVine Points - Player Prop Bet 2/16/2023

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Zach LaVine

NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has averaged 29.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged overall this season.
Zach LaVine has attempted 6.9 3-point shots per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Zach LaVine has averaged 34.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The matchup against Grayson Allen is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; when guarding fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a mere 4.3 three-point shots per game (17th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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