Zach LaVine Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Zach LaVine

NBA · Player Props

Zach LaVine

G-F · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Zach LaVine Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Zach LaVine has totaled 3.9 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the league by this metric over this stretch: 84th percentile.
Zach LaVine has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
Zach LaVine will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Zach LaVine has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (75th percentile).
Without the home court advantage, the Nets have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bulls have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nets.

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