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Zach Collins

Zach Collins Points
Player Prop - 12/19/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs

Zach Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Zach Collins has sunk 54.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 19.2% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season.

The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have compiled the 3rd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league over the last 5 games (31.6%).

The number of field goal attempts against Brook Lopez has been quite high (12.3 per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.

The Spurs are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from facing the fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Zach Collins has failed to convert 8.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 higher than he's missed in all games this season while on the road.

Among all players in the league, Zach Collins places in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.8 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with just 10.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have secured 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (retaining possessions that can lead to extra opportunities for offense).

The matchup against Brook Lopez is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game (10th percentile).

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