Xavier Tillman Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Steals

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 9:16 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -215 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -220.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has put up 0.9 steals per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA in this category in recent days.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has averaged 13.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the league: 24th percentile.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Xavier Tillman will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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