Xavier Tillman Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has put up 2.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.
The 9th-fastest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies rank 6thworst in in the NBA away from home with just 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Clippers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

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