Xavier Tillman Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has compiled 2.1 offensive rebounds per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 12thbest in in the league as the home team with 12.0 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 11.0 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).
Xavier Tillman will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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