Xavier Tillman Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has put up 2.1 offensive rebounds per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 11thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.0 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing clubs have snagged 11.3 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (saving possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).
Xavier Tillman stands to suffer a reduction in production for all stats in light of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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