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Xavier Tillman

Xavier Tillman Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Xavier Tillman Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Xavier Tillman has totaled 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's hottest by this metric in recent games.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Xavier Tillman has played 13.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the league: 24th percentile.
  • The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Grizzlies.
  • Xavier Tillman will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces player production across the board.

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