Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 10thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Xavier Tillman will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boost player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 59.9% clip, Xavier Tillman's field goal prowess has regressed this year to 35.1%.
In terms of scoring, the Grizzlies's feeble 108.1 points per game measures as the weakest in the NBA this year.
The number of shots scored against Ivica Zubac has been very low (4.6 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Grizzlies.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Clippers (preserving possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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