Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the away team over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year, opposing teams have averaged 31.3 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The 8th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has made 37.4% of his field goals this year, ranking in the 16th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last season's 54.4% clip, Xavier Tillman's foul-shot proficiency has been reduced this season to 34.7%.

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