Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:10 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has made 57.7% of his field goals without the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting Cs have notched 19.3 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league while playing on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has brought down 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

In regard to three-pointers, the Grizzlies's subpar 34.6% rate of converted threes when playing on the road measures as the 6th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, opposing squads have shot 37.5% on threes (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, making this a good matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in opportunities today from facing the 8th-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Xavier Tillman has successfully made 54.0% of his foul shot attempts while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Xavier Tillman should experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories considering playing away from hom in this game.