Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Xavier Tillman comes in at the 91st percentile for shooting efficiency away from his home court with a a great 58.8% rate since the start of last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 11thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.0 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a hard one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs since the start of last season (12.6).
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing clubs have snagged 11.3 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (saving possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).
Xavier Tillman has converted 54.0% of his free throws while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Since the start of last season, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, struggling to get to the foul line.

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