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Xavier Tillman

Xavier Tillman Points
Player Prop - 4/28/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Xavier Tillman has successfully made 4.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted overall this season.

Xavier Tillman has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.7 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year.

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Xavier Tillman has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games while on the road, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one; when the Lakers are playing at home, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (11.6).

While at home, the Lakers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Xavier Tillman has made just 54.4% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 72.4 mark last year.

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