Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 26, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has successfully made 5.0 field goals per game over the last 15 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's converted in all games this season when playing at home.
Xavier Tillman has successfully made 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 28.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year playing at home.
Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for field goals; when the Lakers are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 28th-most field goals per game in the league this year (6.1).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
The Lakers have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Lakers may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 25 games (15th-least in the NBA).

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