Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 24, 2023

Updated Apr 25, 2023 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has converted 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 21.4% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
Xavier Tillman has played 27.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 8.0 more than he's played overall this season on the road.
The matchup against the Lakers is a good one for field goals; the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 21st-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.6).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise possessions for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Lakers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman has sunk a measly 54.6% of his foul shots this year, significantly less than his 72.4 rate last year.
Xavier Tillman will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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