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Xavier Tillman

Xavier Tillman Points
Player Prop - 4/22/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Xavier Tillman has sunk 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 21.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 26.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.9 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Grizzlies.

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one; when the Lakers are on their home court, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs over the last 25 games (11.1).

The Lakers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Xavier Tillman has sunk a measly 54.6% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 72.4 rate last year.

Xavier Tillman will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production for all stats.

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