Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 20, 2023 1:22 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has successfully made 4.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games at home, 1.4 more than he's made in all games this season when playing at home.
Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 24.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games at home, 6.0 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Lakers are on the road, they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (15.2).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.
The Lakers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman has successfully made 54.8% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (13th-least in the league).

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