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Xavier Tillman

Xavier Tillman Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Xavier Tillman has made 80.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 20.2% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season with the home court advantage.

Xavier Tillman has averaged 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a good one for shots from the field; the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 29th-most baskets per game in the league this year (6.2).

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Grizzlies.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Xavier Tillman has made 54.8% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the league.

As a team, the Memphis Grizzlies have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line recently: 4th-worst in the league over the last 20 games, totaling a measly 20.2 foul shot attempts per game.

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