Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has successfully made 81.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 19.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Xavier Tillman has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 23.1% more than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one; when the Clippers are the visiting team, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (16.0).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Grizzlies.
The Clippers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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