Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 9:56 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has successfully made 84.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 23.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing on the road.
Xavier Tillman has successfully made 100.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 77.9% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting Cs have compiled the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.5%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has played 13.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the league: 24th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year when it comes to shots from downtown.
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Xavier Tillman will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces player production across the board.

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