Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has sunk 100.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 77.9% higher than he's converted overall this season.
The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for field goals; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have compiled the 29th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (62.8%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has tallied 13.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the NBA: 24th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Grizzlies.

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