Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has made 61.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 7.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while at home.
Xavier Tillman has been on the court for 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when Gobert is away from his home court and facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 2.5 treys per game (100th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has attempted 0.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 13th percentile among all players in the league.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

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