Xavier Tillman Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has successfully made 52.7% of his shots from the field while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bulls have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has attempted 0.3 threes per game this year, placing him in the 13th percentile among all players in the league.
Xavier Tillman has averaged 13.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup against the Bulls is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; opposing squads have totaled the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (36.3).
The matchup against the Bulls may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 25.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Bulls are on the road (5th-least in the league).