Xavier Tillman Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-350).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The rate of three-pointers hit against Ivica Zubac has been very high (42.9%) when he is playing on the road and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile).
The 9th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 10thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Xavier Tillman will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boost player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has converted 0.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 20.7% lower than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
The Grizzlies rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Grizzlies.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Clippers (preserving possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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