Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Grizzlies.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).
Xavier Tillman will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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