Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 2:15 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has tallied a terrific 24.8 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 19.9 minutes per game last year.
The 10th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 9 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 1.7 clip, Xavier Tillman's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 2.5.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a decline in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Suns).
While playing on the road, the Phoenix Suns have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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