Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 10:39 PM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has posted 3.2 assists per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's posted overall this season at home.
In contrast to his full-season clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Xavier Tillman's playing time has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games minutes per game.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about more chances for offense).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.

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