Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 28, 2023

Updated Apr 29, 2023 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has posted 3.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's posted overall this season.
Xavier Tillman has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.7 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Xavier Tillman has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games while on the road, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
While at home, the Lakers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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