Xavier Tillman Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2023

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Xavier Tillman

NBA · Player Props

Xavier Tillman

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 24, 2023

Updated Apr 25, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Xavier Tillman Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +152 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Xavier Tillman has tallied 2.5 assists per game over the last 15 games away from home, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
Xavier Tillman has played 27.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 8.0 more than he's played overall this season on the road.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Lakers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Xavier Tillman will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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